Bitcoin (BTC) ended its losing streak, rallying over 8% to hit $86,500 after former President Donald Trump announced a White House Crypto Summit on March 7. The news triggered an immediate bullish reaction, pushing BTC from $78,000 to a new intra-day high.
Ethereum (ETH) and major altcoins like Ripple (XRP) and Cardano (ADA) followed suit, with increased investor optimism around potential regulatory shifts. Bloomberg reported that Trump is expected to discuss the future of digital assets, leading to speculation that the government may adopt crypto-friendly policies.
The surge in trading volume and market activity highlights growing anticipation among institutional and retail investors. While sentiment remains bullish in the short term, analysts caution that macroeconomic risks could still challenge Bitcoin’s rally.
Despite Bitcoin’s impressive rally, external macroeconomic factors could limit further upside. Trump reaffirmed 25% tariffs on Mexican and Canadian imports and imposed an additional 10% tariff on Chinese goods, escalating global trade tensions.
These developments strengthened the US dollar, making risk assets like Bitcoin more vulnerable to corrections.
Meanwhile, the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation report showed a 0.3% increase in January, bringing the annual rate to 2.5%. Core PCE, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, slowed to 2.6% from 2.9% in December.
While the data aligned with expectations, it reinforced the likelihood of the Fed keeping interest rates steady, a factor that could dampen BTC’s momentum.
Bitcoin’s recent dip below $83,000 triggered short-term panic, with fears of a potential drop to $70,000. However, BTC quickly rebounded by over 4%, climbing back above $86,000.
According to CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju, Bitcoin is at a critical bull-bear boundary. He believes BTC’s bullish cycle will extend until April 2025, following its two-year market pattern. If demand remains strong, Bitcoin could continue higher, but weak buying pressure could drag prices lower toward $77,000 support.
Analysts also warn that Trump’s trade tariffs on European goods could increase market volatility, making Bitcoin’s rally less predictable in the coming weeks. Traders are advised to remain cautious, especially with leveraged positions.
Bitcoin is currently trading at $85,400, showing a 0.8% gain after hitting lows near $82,200. The 2-hour chart indicates BTC is testing key resistance at $86,500, aligning with both the descending trendline and the 50-period EMA ($86,000).
If BTC breaks above $86,500, it could target $89,400 in the short term. However, failure to clear resistance may trigger another decline, with $82,200 acting as immediate support. A rejection at current levels could reinforce bearish momentum, potentially dragging BTC toward $78,100 or even $74,000.
Bitcoin’s rally is fueled by Trump’s Crypto Summit announcement, but macro risks like trade tensions and Fed policy remain obstacles.
Investors should watch $86,500 resistance closely—if BTC clears it, the next leg higher could take prices toward $89,400. However, failure to break out may lead to renewed downside pressure.
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